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Final election predictions

Posted: November 7th, 2016, 3:39 pm
by Adam54
Just for funzies, place your final guesses in the following categories

1. Winner of the election, with total electoral votes for both Clinton & Trump (Combined total is 538)
2. Popular vote (percentage. Don't try to guess the actual number of votes)
3. Who controls the Senate and by how much
4. Who controls the House and by how much.

MY GUESSES

1. Clinton 336 Trump 202
2. Clinton 48.1 Trump 43.2 Johnson 4.7 Stein 2.5 Others 1.5
3. Democrats by 4 seats, not counting Vice President Kaine
4. Republicans by 15 seats

Closest in each category gets the rare prize of telling Dalty to BELIEVE IN ADAM SKOGLUND.

Have fun!

Re: Final election predictions

Posted: November 8th, 2016, 1:01 am
by Dalty
That's too complicated for me so I will just summarise.

Two outcomes possible. Either Trump just nicks it by inches, or Clinton romps home and blows him away. I don't think a reversal with a narrow Clinton win is on the cards.

What time will the results be known?

Re: Final election predictions

Posted: November 8th, 2016, 2:25 am
by Adam54
Impossible to say for sure. If one of them takes, say, the majority of Pennsylvania, Virginia, North Carolina, Ohio, New Hampshire and Florida, it'll be over pretty early. If they split those six, we're in for a long night. Especially if he gets Pennsylvania.

Re: Final election predictions

Posted: November 8th, 2016, 5:00 am
by Space Tycoon
The white New York millionaire will win?

Re: Final election predictions

Posted: November 8th, 2016, 5:32 am
by Dalty
I have a gut feeling that high voter turnout is good for Clinton?

Re: Final election predictions

Posted: November 8th, 2016, 8:38 am
by Adam54
Correct. I'm hoping to stand in a line around the block when I go vote.

Re: Final election predictions

Posted: November 8th, 2016, 9:33 am
by The Swollen Goiter of God
One of my former University of Alabama suitemates wore his "Make America Great Again" hat and his "Republican National Convention" shirt to the polling place. Isn't that electioneering? Does he skate by because there's nothing on the hat that actually says "Trump"?

He also had a picture of himself holding up his ballot with his choice for president clearly marked, smiling and giving the thumbs-up. Someone posted to ask if he had truly been allowed to wear the hat, and he responded "Yes. They can't stop you from wearing a shirt or hat!" I'm not so sure that's right. In Missouri, at least, these things are clearly defined as crimes. They're even labeled as such on signs posted on polling place walls--along with the specific legal repercussions for committing said crimes.

He's also on the ballot running for constabulary position and was there to vote for himself. Fuckin' Alabama, man.

Re: Final election predictions

Posted: November 8th, 2016, 9:38 am
by The Swollen Goiter of God
I'll be goddamned:

https://www.alabamavotes.gov/FAQ.aspx?m=Voters#8

Fuckin' Alabama, man.

Re: Final election predictions

Posted: November 8th, 2016, 9:48 am
by The Swollen Goiter of God
The bastard did, however, break the law when he took pictures inside the polling place:

https://www.alabamavotes.gov/FAQ.aspx?m=Voters#16

The relevant bit:

"If your cell phone has a camera, you cannot take photographs or film video inside the polling place."

I thought for a second he might have been getting by on a technicality if he used something other than a cellphone to take the picture, but FAQ immediately above has this to say:

https://www.alabamavotes.gov/FAQ.aspx?m=Voters#15

If he ends up becoming constable, this could come back to haunt him.

Re: Final election predictions

Posted: November 8th, 2016, 9:59 am
by The Swollen Goiter of God
I've thought more about this. There are two pictures. The first one is a selfie my former suitemate took outside the polling place. The second one is a picture someone appears to have taken of him inside the polling place.

My former suitemate's selfie appears to be more than thirty feet outside the polling place--though that may depend on how "polling place" is defined. (If it's defined as the area in which people are actively casting votes, he's probably fine. If the property surrounding the building [parking lot included] is also considered to be part of the polling place, things could get sticky.)

My former suitemate may be skating by on a technicality with the second photograph, since one may presume he didn't actually take the photograph--unless he used a time delay. If another person took the photograph *for* him, on the other hand, that person may have a greater share of any culpability.

Whether or not my former suitemate broke any laws--I think he might be able to argue successfully that he did not--it does seem like he put at least some effort into figuring out just how much electioneering he could get away with. Whatever the case, he posted the photos on Facebook as global shares, so anyone can see them. If a person so chose, that person could share the posts with the U.S. Department of Justice.

Re: Final election predictions

Posted: November 8th, 2016, 10:41 am
by Master Skywalker
Sheev Palpatine and Mas Amedda

Make the Galaxy Great Again

:mrgreen:

Re: Final election predictions

Posted: November 8th, 2016, 10:44 am
by The Swollen Goiter of God
"Mas Amedda" sounds pretty close to "mass media."

Oh, George. I guess it's at least a touch less transparent than "Elan Sleazebaggano."

Re: Final election predictions

Posted: November 8th, 2016, 11:03 am
by Master Skywalker
The Swollen Goiter of God wrote:"Mas Amedda" sounds pretty close to "mass media."

Oh, George. I guess it's at least a touch less transparent than "Elan Sleazebaggano."
Do you think Elan changed his last name after Obi-Wan Jedi Mind-Tricked him into going straight? Maybe he was known as Elan Reformedsleazebaggano afterward.

Re: Final election predictions

Posted: November 8th, 2016, 11:29 am
by The Swollen Goiter of God
Maybe he had it officially changed to Elan Rethoughthislife.

Something tells me he went right back to selling Death's Dicks after the Jedi hoodoo wore off.

Re: Final election predictions

Posted: November 8th, 2016, 11:37 am
by Adam54
Adam54 wrote:Just for funzies, place your final guesses in the following categories

1. Winner of the election, with total electoral votes for both Clinton & Trump (Combined total is 538)
2. Popular vote (percentage. Don't try to guess the actual number of votes)
3. Who controls the Senate and by how much
4. Who controls the House and by how much.

MY GUESSES

1. Clinton 336 Trump 202
2. Clinton 48.1 Trump 43.2 Johnson 4.7 Stein 2.5 Others 1.5
3. Democrats by 4 seats, not counting Vice President Kaine
4. Republicans by 15 seats

Closest in each category gets the rare prize of telling Dalty to BELIEVE IN ADAM SKOGLUND.

Have fun!
I'd like to add a couple predictions to this:

In keeping with my track record thus far, I'll ultimately be wrong in the details. But I'll be right about Trump losing and will not be shy about pointing that fact out to Doubtin' Dalty for the rest of our lives together.

Re: Final election predictions

Posted: November 8th, 2016, 11:43 am
by Master Skywalker
The Swollen Goiter of God wrote:Maybe he had it officially changed to Elan Rethoughthislife.

Something tells me he went right back to selling Death's Dicks after the Jedi hoodoo wore off.
I think you meant Death Sticks.

At least, I hope you meant that. :shock:

Re: Final election predictions

Posted: November 8th, 2016, 11:48 am
by The Swollen Goiter of God
I was using their street name.

Re: Final election predictions

Posted: November 8th, 2016, 12:03 pm
by Dalty
It starts with the Deaths Dicks - before you know it, it's Kamino Kyber darts and then you will be in trouble.

Re: Final election predictions

Posted: November 8th, 2016, 12:12 pm
by Adam54
QUIT HIJACKING MY POLITICAL NERD THREAD YOU STAR WARS NERDS!

Re: Final election predictions

Posted: November 8th, 2016, 12:19 pm
by Dalty
The Senate was dissolved! That was political!!!

Re: Final election predictions

Posted: November 8th, 2016, 12:45 pm
by Mal Shot First
Master Skywalker wrote:
The Swollen Goiter of God wrote:"Mas Amedda" sounds pretty close to "mass media."

Oh, George. I guess it's at least a touch less transparent than "Elan Sleazebaggano."
Do you think Elan changed his last name after Obi-Wan Jedi Mind-Tricked him into going straight? Maybe he was known as Elan Reformedsleazebaggano afterward.
His family had actually changed it to Sleazebaggano in the 9th century. It used to be Shitbuckettano.

Re: Final election predictions

Posted: November 8th, 2016, 1:27 pm
by Dalty
Make Geonosis Great Again!

Re: Final election predictions

Posted: November 8th, 2016, 1:28 pm
by Master Skywalker
Dalty wrote:It starts with the Deaths Dicks - before you know it, it's Kamino Kyber darts and then you will be in trouble.
SABERdarts!

Re: Final election predictions

Posted: November 8th, 2016, 2:16 pm
by Adam54
Dalty wrote:The Senate was dissolved! That was political!!!
*shakes fist* Don't make me come over there!

Re: Final election predictions

Posted: November 8th, 2016, 3:25 pm
by Dalty
If President Trump doesn't implement a travel ban......